“The EU will be confronted with more than a dead boy on the shores of Turkey. There will be 10.000 or 15.000. How will you deal with that?” Who is talking is no one else but Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Turkey’s sultan slash prime minister. The occasion? Turkey European Union talks about migration fluxes aiming at slashing the numbers of potential refugees crossing the Aegean Sea into Greece and in so doing European territory. The addressees? The presidents of European council and commission, Donald Tusk and Jean-Claude Juncker.
Mr. Erdogans prophecy of doom should not be dismissed
as the surreal doom-mongering of a Machiavellian, power-obsessed politician
seeking to achieve the maximum output in tough negotiations. Even if ostensibly
it seems to be exactly this: a preposterous exaggeration of an unlikely
scenario, taking advantage of the tragic destiny of the little Aylan Kurdi in order
to evoke Europe`s sore conscious in regard to this event and capitalize on it.
Yet the prime minister’s prediction, albeit excessive and most certainly
melodramatic, pictures quite accurately what Europe might face if it
perpetuates its erratic and opportunistic migrant policy. Which the so-called
understanding with Turkey is an essential part of.
Half a year ago, when the issue first erupted,
European politicians used to sing quite a different tone. Particularly Central
European representatives lined up at border crossings, train stations and
asylum shelters, passing out the slogans “We are gonna manage it” and Angela
Merkel’s favorite “Willkommenskultur”, actively trying to profit from the
stunning wave of warmth and solidarity shown by their electorate in confront
with the newly arrived.
The shoe sure is on the other foot now. Volatile and
capricious as people are they have turned their backs, especially on Muslim
refugees from Northern Africa. And Angela Merkel may well accurse her
directionless babbling of solidarity and moral obligations, as she sees her
numbers dip in each and every sector of society.
In the wake of the surge of right-wing
anti-immigration parties in Sweden, Austria, France and the Netherlands,
moderate politician try to contrast the
xenophobic avalanche by doing a U-turn and adopting an entirely different
attitude toward the members of what has come to be called a second
Völkerwanderung.
The alteration has been a profound one. Not to the
worse, but certainly not to the better either. What is now prevailing among
Europe’s elite is an attitude of sanctimoniousness. “We have done our share,
our capacities are depleted. Enough is enough.” In this platitude now there is
not even a grain of verity. Quite on the contrary, there are plenty of
resources. Countries such as Spain or Polonia have accepted nearly no refugees
and even Germany, Austria and Sweden are far from reaching their operational
limit. At a site-visit adjournement at the Austrian-Slovenian border the border
security measures installed by the Austrian Federal Government (Out of
consideration of the social liberal faction of the governing Social democratic
party it must not be called a border fence) seemed out of proportion and
essentially superfluous. The number of migrants crossing the border at this
particular crossing deceeded the estimations of the Austrian Interior Minsitry
by ten times. So there can be no talk of operational limits being reached.
What is being reached though is the psychological
limit of tolerance of the native population. In the aftermath of the Cologne
sexual assaults a widening rift has opened up between Muslim immigrants and the
regular Joes and Josephines concerned about preserving their values, society
and their basic security.
That’s what after months of shadow-boxing occurred to
Austria’s chancellery who in the notoriously populist “Kronen Zeitung”,
Austria’s highest-circulation newspaper and closely allied with the incumbent
chancellor Werner Faymann, announced to look into possibilities to reduce
social security for foreigners and take measures to control the incontrollable
influx of refugees. This wouldn’t be that astonishing hadn’t the same Werner
Faymann denounced the migration policies of neighboring Hungary comparing them
to the deportations of Jews in Nazi-Germany: “Sticking refugees in trains and
sending them somewhere completely different to where they think they're going
reminds us of the darkest chapter of our continent's history."
While at the time Hungary was enforcing valid European
law, thus Dublin III regulations, the same man once praising himself as
ferocious campaigner for human rights and bulwark against the rising specter of
the far-right is now skating on thin ice proposing to limit the number of
asylum grants to 127.500 until 2019 – a figure the secretar general of Amnesty
International Heinz Patzelt dismisses as completely unrealistic accusing the
government of populism in its purest form.
Let’s remember: This is the same man who called for
“opening barriers to humanity” just last autumn at the time fully endorsing
Angela Merkel’s Willkommenskultur. With this unprecedented u-turn Faymann’s
attitude towards Europe`s migration crisis is symptomatic for Europe`s
inexistent crisis management and its insolent hypocrisy in regard to other countries,
for example Turkey, who has in a Herculean effort has managed to accommodate over
2 million refugees, not only providing them with food and basic health care,
but also granting them the right to work, which, considering the precarious
economic circumstances and an unemployment rate of well over 10 percent, is an
extremely courageous decision.
There are certainly a lot of deficiencies in Turkey’s
political system and in regard to its leadership Mr. Erdogan’s is most certainly walking a fine line between
dominant and autocratic. What he however cannot be accused of is cowardice and
double standards. Which puts him in flagrant contrast to Europe`s alleged
leaders who since continuously glancing at the pools have lost every sense of
foresight and sensible policy.
Then of course, why should he be the only one forced
to act sensibly? As Erdogan himself emphasized, he and his country “do not have
written stupid on their foreheads”. Why should he accept a bogus European offer
of 3 million euros, which given that the policy has to be ratified by the
parliaments of each and every member state. Why should he soil his hands with
keeping hundreds of thousands of desperate displaced ones facing a dire future
in their homelands? Why should he take responsibility for the distressing scenes
bound to unfold at the shores of the Aegean Sea if no actions are taken to
alleviate the plight of war in Syria, Iraq and Afghanistan? In order to allow
European leaders to sleep easy at night? In order to allow them to talk
themselves and the citizens of their countries into believing that the moral
lighthouse Europe once again has prevailed. And, following psychological
principles, one day even believe it themselves. They will not have to deal with
dead boys and girls on the beaches of the Mediterranean. Others will. But that
will not be there problem, won’t it?
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